Ireland weather: Met Eireann predicts major shift in next few weeks but with possible positive twist
This coming weekend is set to be a a washout across the north and west of Ireland with rest of country hopefully seeing drier than normal conditions
Met Eireann has published its extended range forecast for September and the beginning of October.
After a weekend of warm sunshine and blue skies, Met Eireann is predicting above average rainfall for many parts of the country throughout September and the beginning of next month.
However, there is still positive news to cling to as the state forecaster said temperatures will be warmer than normal at the start of October.
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Whilst Met Eireann explicitly states long range weather forecasts are notoriously difficult to definitively predict, it did, however, paint a somewhat bleak picture for many parts of the country over the coming weeks.
This coming weekend is set to be a a washout across the north and west of Ireland with rest of country hopefully seeing drier than normal conditions.
"The *might* has become a definite regarding Atlantic low pressure being too close by for Scotland, N. Ireland, & Ireland to join in with dry weather throughout Fri-Sat," wrote Meterologist, James Peacock, on X on Monday.
"Still a chance most areas of the UK stay dry - but rather cloudy away from the south - on Fri," he added.
The further into the future we go, the more difficult it becomes to forecast the weather however, Met Eireann says "much of the country will experience unsettled weather" in the middle of September.
Whilst it remains relatively uncertain, the end of September and beginning of October is set to be more settled with "warmer than average mean air temperatures, with a signal for below average rainfall for many too".
Met Eireann Extended Range Forecast
Week 1 (Monday 09 September to Sunday 15 September)
Week one is indicating the presence of low pressure over Ireland, centred to the east with high pressure over the mid-Atlantic. This will bring mixed conditions with wetter than average conditions over the north and west, and drier than normal conditions elsewhere. Mean air temperatures are indicating that they will be cooler than normal for the time of year.
Week 2 (Monday 16 September to Sunday 22 September)
While confidence in week 2 is lower, there is a slight signal for high pressure over parts of the north with low pressure to the southwest in the Atlantic. Much of the country will experience unsettled weather by means of above average rainfall with the exception of areas in the west and northwest which are expected to see below average rainfall. Mean air temperatures are indicating that they will be normal for the time of year in week 2.
Week 3 (Monday 23 September to Sunday 29 September)
There is increasing uncertainty in the forecast for week 3. Current indications suggest conditions will become more settled. There is a slight signal for higher pressure to dominate over much of the country this week. There is a signal for warmer than average mean air temperatures, with a signal for below average rainfall for many too.
Week 4 (Monday 30 September to Sunday 06 October)
In week 4 the forecast confidence is low. There is a slight signal for low pressure to dominate our weather, bringing unsettled conditions and above average rainfall for week 4. Mean air temperatures are indicating that they will remain above normal again for the time of year.
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