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Ireland weather: Calm before storm as Met Eireann pinpoint exact date of dramatic November U-turn

Ireland is gearing up for an uncharacteristically mild November, with warm temperatures and calm conditions dominating the first half of the month. But hold onto your umbrellas as Met Eireann is sounding the alarm for a dramatic weather turnaround.


  • Nov 05 2024
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Ireland weather: Calm before storm as Met Eireann pinpoint exact date of dramatic November U-turn
Ireland weather: Calm before s

Ireland is set to bask in an unseasonably mild November - but Met Eireann has warned that a dramatic shift in weather conditions could be on the horizon.

The national forecaster today published its latest monthly forecast. It predicts that high pressure will largely dominate weather patterns, creating pleasant conditions and uncharacteristically warm temperatures for most over the coming weeks.

However, amid the calm spell, the meteorological agency has issued a cautionary note that it may not last. A major U-turn is signalled for later this month, with signs pointing towards unsettled weather creeping into the forecast during one specific week.

As the month progresses, it appears that the mild spell will ultimately give way to more typical blustery and wet conditions associated with Ireland’s autumn months.

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According to Met Eireann, from Monday, November 11 to Sunday, November 17, Ireland will enjoy a spell of dry and mild conditions, with lighter winds and well-above average temperatures.

As we move into the second week of Monday, November 18 to Sunday, November 24, the grip of high pressure is expected to weaken. While southern counties may still enjoy mainly dry conditions, the north could see the first signs of wet weather. Temperatures will continue to hold steady, remaining above average.

The forecast for the third week, spanning Monday, November 25 to Sunday, December 1, signals a return to more typical November weather, with high pressure drifting away. A trend towards unsettled conditions is anticipated, bringing rain and possibly wind to many areas. Temperatures are also forecast to drop to “just slightly” above-average.

Finally, as we head into the first week of December (2nd to 9th), the forecast suggests that while high pressure will still be present, it will only be slightly dominant. A mix of unsettled weather and drier intervals is likely, with temperatures continuing above the seasonal norm.

Met Eireann's latest monthly forecast

A blissful start - Monday, November 11 to Sunday, November 17

Met Eireann said: "With high pressure likely remain a dominant influence over the weather in the week its set to remain much drier and overall calmer than average too with lighter winds. Very mild air temperatures also expected and that coupled with warm air moving in aloft it will likely remain very calm and benign."

Signs of change - Monday, November 18 to Sunday, November 24

The national forecaster continued: "High pressures influence is set to wane a little but overall it will remain above average for this time of year. Mainly drier across southern counties too but there are signs of some wet weather for the far north but overall temperatures will keep rather mild. Air temperatures are set to remain above average with higher temperatures aloft keeping the weather mostly benign."

Unsettled weather arrives - Monday, November 25 to Sunday, December 1

The meteorological agency added: "High pressure continues to drift away with more of a trend back to normal values as we continue into week 3. This will allow for some unsettled weather to drift in from the north with most areas likely to see some wet weather during the week. Temperatures are still likely to remain above average however just slightly."

Mixed conditions persist - Monday, December 2 to Sunday, December 8

The forecast concludes: "High pressure while slowly weakening looks to remain dominant but only slightly. Overall the general trend is for some unsettled weather but with some drier intervals too. Temperatures are set to remain above average."

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